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BilSports AI Prediction — V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
Top signal: Goals — Over 1.5 — 62% confidence · +20.8 pp edge · odds 2.43. Based on statistical patterns from the BilSports prediction engine.
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Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.
Match predictions
Head to Head record shows that in the previous 10 meetings, V-varen Nagasaki has won 3 times, Fagiano Okayama has won 3 times, and 4 ended in a draw. V-varen Nagasaki scored 9 goals and Fagiano Okayama scored 7 goals in these matches.
J1 League
Recent performance analysis
Fagiano Okayama +21% better in terms of Goals Scored
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | V-varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% |
Fagiano Okayama +11% better in terms of Goals Conceded
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | V-varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 10% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheet | 20% | 40% |
| Match Goals | V-varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 90% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Loss | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | V-varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shots / Match | 10.17 | 11.85 | 22.02 |
| Shots On Target / Match | 3.22 | 3.85 | 7.07 |
| Shots Off Target / Match | 6.95 | 8.00 | 14.95 |
| Inside Box / Match | 5.69 | 7.90 | 13.59 |
| Outside Box / Match | 2.81 | 3.95 | 6.76 |
| GK Saves / Match | 3.25 | 3.50 | 6.75 |
| Conversion Rate % | 31.7% | 32.5% | 32.1% |
| Stat | V-varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Total Shots | 1.10 | 2.50 | 3.60 |
| 2H Total Shots | 1.10 | 1.80 | 2.90 |
| 1H Shots On Target | 0.70 | 1.20 | 1.90 |
| 2H Shots On Target | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.90 |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | V-varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 200 Passes | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 250 Passes | 100% | 70% | 85% |
| Over 300 Passes | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 350 Passes | 50% | 10% | 30% |
| Over 400 Passes | 30% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 450 Passes | 30% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 500 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 550 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 600 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 650 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 8 corners means 8 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | V-varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 7 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Over 8 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stat | V-varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Average | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| 2H Average | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cards Average | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Cards % | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| 2nd Half Cards % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
J1 League Table| # | Team | MP | W% | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 18 | 61% | 29 | 25 | +4 | 35 | 1.94 |
| 2 |  Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 61% | 30 | 21 | +9 | 31 | 1.72 |
| 3 |  Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 56% | 33 | 31 | +2 | 31 | 1.72 |
| 4 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 56% | 31 | 23 | +8 | 30 | 1.67 |
| 5 |  Gamba Osaka | 18 | 56% | 31 | 25 | +6 | 28 | 1.56 |
| 6 |  Fagiano Okayama | 18 | 44% | 26 | 29 | -3 | 26 | 1.44 |
| 7 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 18 | 44% | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 | 1.33 |
| 8 |  Kyoto Sanga | 18 | 44% | 22 | 28 | -6 | 23 | 1.28 |
| 9 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 18 | 39% | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 | 1.17 |
| 10 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 39% | 21 | 31 | -10 | 21 | 1.17 |
