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BilSports AI Prediction — Valencia vs Atletico Madrid

Top signal: Goals — Over 1.5 — 70% confidence · +24.3 pp edge · odds 2.19. Based on statistical patterns from the BilSports prediction engine.

Football statistics & match prediction

Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.

La Liga

Spain•2025•Regular Season - 34

Full Time

Full TimeHT: 0 - 0

Valencia

0-2

Atletico Madrid

Goals

I. Luque74'

M. Cubo82'

Cards

67'C. Tarrega

T. Almada29'

R. Mendoza52'

O. Vargas61'

Match Overview

Match predictions

Valencia

43%

Home Win

🤝

26%

Draw

Atletico Madrid

31%

Away Win

60%

BTTS Yes

40%

BTTS No

100%

Over 0.5

75%

Over 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

Head to Head Statistics

Matches

10%

80%

1 Wins

1 Draws

8 Wins

Valencia (10%)

(10%)

Atletico Madrid (80%)

Head to Head record shows that in the previous 10 meetings, Valencia has won 1 time, Atletico Madrid has won 8 times, and 1 ended in a draw. Valencia scored 10 goals and Atletico Madrid scored 23 goals in these matches.

90%

Over 1.5

9/10

80%

Over 2.5

8/10

30%

Over 3.5

3/10

40%

BTTS

4/10

10%

Clean Sheets

Valencia

50%

Clean Sheets

Atletico Madrid

Average Performance in H2H Matches

ValenciaVSAtletico Madrid

1.00

Goals / per game

2.30

10.5

Shots / per game

12.8

3.1

Shots on Target

5.5

450

Passes / per game

488

5.6

Corners / per game

4.1

13.1

Fouls / per game

13.5

1.7

Yellow Cards

2.9

0.00

Red Cards

0.00

Combined Match Averages

6.6

Goals / per match

23.3

Shots / per match

9.7

Corners / per match

4.6

Yellow Cards

Valencia v Atletico Madrid Past H2H Results & Fixtures

Dec 13, 2025

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Valencia

Feb 22, 2025

Valencia

0 - 3

Atletico Madrid

Sep 15, 2024

Atletico Madrid

3 - 0

Valencia

Jan 28, 2024

Atletico Madrid

2 - 0

Valencia

Sep 16, 2023

Valencia

3 - 0

Atletico Madrid

Mar 18, 2023

Atletico Madrid

3 - 0

Valencia

Aug 29, 2022

Valencia

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

Jan 22, 2022

Atletico Madrid

3 - 2

Valencia

Nov 7, 2021

Valencia

3 - 3

Atletico Madrid

Jan 24, 2021

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Valencia

Recent Form

Recent performance analysis

2.83

Form - Home

Valencia +10% better

PPG

2.33

Form - Away

Home

Valencia

50%

Wins

20%

Draws

30%

Losses

1.2

Goals/G

1.5

Conc/G

✓Won last 2 matches

✓Unbeaten in last 4 matches

✓Scored in last 4 matches

✓Over 2.5 goals in last 2 matches

✓Over 1.5 goals in last 3 matches

✓BTTS in last 3 matches

✗Conceded in last 3 matches

✓Over 1.5 goals in 80% of matches

✓BTTS in 60% of matches

✗Conceded in 80% of matches

Barcelona

HHome

3-1

Real Sociedad

AAway

3-4

Rayo Vallecano

HHome

1-1

Athletic Club

AAway

0-1

Atletico Madrid

HHome

0-2

Away

Atletico Madrid

40%

Wins

20%

Draws

40%

Losses

1.8

Goals/G

1.4

Conc/G

✓Scored in last 3 matches

✓Over 2.5 goals in 50% of matches

✓Over 1.5 goals in 70% of matches

✓BTTS in 60% of matches

✗Conceded in 80% of matches

Villarreal

AAway

5-1

Girona

HHome

1-0

Osasuna

AAway

1-2

Celta Vigo

HHome

0-1

Arsenal

AAway

1-0

Goals Scored

Atletico Madrid +48% better in terms of Goals Scored

Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).

1.21 Goals / per match

1.79 Goals / per match

Scored Per Game

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid
Over 0.5	80%	80%
Over 1.5	50%	50%
Over 2.5	20%	10%
Over 3.5	10%	0%
Failed to Score	20%	20%

Goals Conceded

Atletico Madrid +6% better in terms of Goals Conceded

Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).

1.47 Conceded Per Game

1.39 Conceded Per Game

Defensive Record

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid
Over 0.5	80%	80%
Over 1.5	30%	40%
Over 2.5	20%	20%
Over 3.5	0%	10%
Clean Sheet	20%	20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Valencia and Atletico Madrid's Over 0.5 ~ 4.5 and BTTS data.

Match Goals	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Average
Over 0.5	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5	80%	70%	75%
Over 2.5	40%	50%	45%
Over 3.5	30%	40%	35%
Over 4.5	20%	30%	25%

BTTS	60%	60%	60%
BTTS & Win	30%	20%	25%
BTTS & Draw	20%	20%	20%
BTTS & Loss	10%	20%	15%
BTTS & Over 2.5	40%	50%	45%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%	0%

Shots, Fouls & Offsides

These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.

Total

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Combined
Total Shots / Match	11.62	13.50	25.12
Shots On Target / Match	3.14	5.14	8.28
Shots Off Target / Match	8.48	8.36	16.84
Inside Box / Match	7.70	9.11	16.81
Outside Box / Match	3.89	4.28	8.17
GK Saves / Match	2.67	3.25	5.92
Conversion Rate %	27.0%	38.1%	32.5%

By Half

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Combined
1H Total Shots	2.60	2.40	5.00
2H Total Shots	2.50	2.60	5.10
1H Shots On Target	0.70	1.10	1.80
2H Shots On Target	1.10	0.50	1.60

Passes Statistics

These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Average
Over 200 Passes	100%	100%	100%
Over 250 Passes	90%	100%	95%
Over 300 Passes	90%	90%	90%
Over 350 Passes	60%	90%	75%
Over 400 Passes	30%	70%	50%
Over 450 Passes	10%	50%	30%
Over 500 Passes	0%	40%	20%
Over 550 Passes	0%	30%	15%
Over 600 Passes	0%	10%	5%
Over 650 Passes	0%	10%	5%

Number of Corners

These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 8 corners means 8 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Average
Over 6	20%	40%	30%
Over 7	10%	30%	20%
Over 8	10%	30%	20%
Over 9	0%	10%	5%
Over 10	0%	0%	0%
Over 11	0%	0%	0%
Over 12	0%	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half Cards

Stat

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Average
1H Average	0.10	0.30	0.20
2H Average	0.30	0.60	0.45
Cards Average	1.40	1.80	1.60
1st Half Cards %	0%	20%	10%
2nd Half Cards %	10%	20%	15%

Match Events

ValenciaAtletico Madrid

J. BonarA. Puric90+7'

Full Time 0 – 2

82'Renzo SaraviaD. Raba

M. Cubo(A. Griezmann)0 – 282'

I. Luque(O. Vargas)0 – 174'

73'J. GayaJ. Vazquez

73'L. RamazaniA. Danjuma

R. MendozaA. Griezmann73'

T. AlmadaKoke73'

67'C. Tarrega

R. BelaidI. Luque63'

J. MorcilloM. Cubo63'

O. Vargas61'

59'L. RiojaD. Lopez

59'F. UgrinicH. Duro

R. Mendoza52'

INT 0 – 0

T. Almada29'

Odds Market

MarketOddsStats

Valencia Win2.1750%

Atletico Madrid Win3.0140%

Draw3.5420%

Over 0.5—100%

Over 1.5—75%

Over 2.55.3745%

Over 3.5—35%

BTTS4.0060%

Explore Team Details

Football statistics & match prediction

Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.

La Liga

Spain•2025•Regular Season - 34

Full Time

Full TimeHT: 0 - 0

Valencia

0-2

Atletico Madrid

Goals

I. Luque74'

M. Cubo82'

Cards

67'C. Tarrega

T. Almada29'

R. Mendoza52'

O. Vargas61'

Match Overview

Match predictions

Valencia

43%

Home Win

🤝

26%

Draw

Atletico Madrid

31%

Away Win

60%

BTTS Yes

40%

BTTS No

100%

Over 0.5

75%

Over 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

Head to Head Statistics

Matches

10%

80%

1 Wins

1 Draws

8 Wins

Valencia (10%)

(10%)

Atletico Madrid (80%)

90%

Over 1.5

9/10

80%

Over 2.5

8/10

30%

Over 3.5

3/10

40%

BTTS

4/10

10%

Clean Sheets

Valencia

50%

Clean Sheets

Atletico Madrid

Average Performance in H2H Matches

ValenciaVSAtletico Madrid

1.00

Goals / per game

2.30

10.5

Shots / per game

12.8

3.1

Shots on Target

5.5

450

Passes / per game

488

5.6

Corners / per game

4.1

13.1

Fouls / per game

13.5

1.7

Yellow Cards

2.9

0.00

Red Cards

0.00

Combined Match Averages

6.6

Goals / per match

23.3

Shots / per match

9.7

Corners / per match

4.6

Yellow Cards

Valencia v Atletico Madrid Past H2H Results & Fixtures

Dec 13, 2025

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Valencia

Feb 22, 2025

Valencia

0 - 3

Atletico Madrid

Sep 15, 2024

Atletico Madrid

3 - 0

Valencia

Jan 28, 2024

Atletico Madrid

2 - 0

Valencia

Sep 16, 2023

Valencia

3 - 0

Atletico Madrid

Mar 18, 2023

Atletico Madrid

3 - 0

Valencia

Aug 29, 2022

Valencia

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

Jan 22, 2022

Atletico Madrid

3 - 2

Valencia

Nov 7, 2021

Valencia

3 - 3

Atletico Madrid

Jan 24, 2021

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Valencia

Recent Form

Recent performance analysis

2.83

Form - Home

Valencia +10% better

PPG

2.33

Form - Away

Home

Valencia

50%

Wins

20%

Draws

30%

Losses

1.2

Goals/G

1.5

Conc/G

✓Won last 2 matches

✓Unbeaten in last 4 matches

✓Scored in last 4 matches

✓Over 2.5 goals in last 2 matches

✓Over 1.5 goals in last 3 matches

✓BTTS in last 3 matches

✗Conceded in last 3 matches

✓Over 1.5 goals in 80% of matches

✓BTTS in 60% of matches

✗Conceded in 80% of matches

Barcelona

HHome

3-1

Real Sociedad

AAway

3-4

Rayo Vallecano

HHome

1-1

Athletic Club

AAway

0-1

Atletico Madrid

HHome

0-2

Away

Atletico Madrid

40%

Wins

20%

Draws

40%

Losses

1.8

Goals/G

1.4

Conc/G

✓Scored in last 3 matches

✓Over 2.5 goals in 50% of matches

✓Over 1.5 goals in 70% of matches

✓BTTS in 60% of matches

✗Conceded in 80% of matches

Villarreal

AAway

5-1

Girona

HHome

1-0

Osasuna

AAway

1-2

Celta Vigo

HHome

0-1

Arsenal

AAway

1-0

Goals Scored

Atletico Madrid +48% better in terms of Goals Scored

Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).

1.21 Goals / per match

1.79 Goals / per match

Scored Per Game

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid
Over 0.5	80%	80%
Over 1.5	50%	50%
Over 2.5	20%	10%
Over 3.5	10%	0%
Failed to Score	20%	20%

Goals Conceded

Atletico Madrid +6% better in terms of Goals Conceded

Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).

1.47 Conceded Per Game

1.39 Conceded Per Game

Defensive Record

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid
Over 0.5	80%	80%
Over 1.5	30%	40%
Over 2.5	20%	20%
Over 3.5	0%	10%
Clean Sheet	20%	20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Valencia and Atletico Madrid's Over 0.5 ~ 4.5 and BTTS data.

Match Goals	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Average
Over 0.5	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5	80%	70%	75%
Over 2.5	40%	50%	45%
Over 3.5	30%	40%	35%
Over 4.5	20%	30%	25%

BTTS	60%	60%	60%
BTTS & Win	30%	20%	25%
BTTS & Draw	20%	20%	20%
BTTS & Loss	10%	20%	15%
BTTS & Over 2.5	40%	50%	45%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%	0%

Shots, Fouls & Offsides

These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.

Total

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Combined
Total Shots / Match	11.62	13.50	25.12
Shots On Target / Match	3.14	5.14	8.28
Shots Off Target / Match	8.48	8.36	16.84
Inside Box / Match	7.70	9.11	16.81
Outside Box / Match	3.89	4.28	8.17
GK Saves / Match	2.67	3.25	5.92
Conversion Rate %	27.0%	38.1%	32.5%

By Half

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Combined
1H Total Shots	2.60	2.40	5.00
2H Total Shots	2.50	2.60	5.10
1H Shots On Target	0.70	1.10	1.80
2H Shots On Target	1.10	0.50	1.60

Passes Statistics

These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.

Stat	Valencia	Atletico Madrid	Average
Over 200 Passes	100%	100%	100%
Over 250 Passes	90%	100%	95%
Over 300 Passes	90%	90%	90%
Over 350 Passes	60%	90%	75%
Over 400 Passes	30%	70%	50%
Over 450 Passes	10%	50%	30%
Over 500 Passes	0%	40%	20%
Over 550 Passes	0%	30%	15%
Over 600 Passes	0%	10%	5%
Over 650 Passes	0%	10%	5%