AO VIVO
BilSports AI Prediction — Penarol vs Defensor Sporting
Top signal: Goals — Over 1.5 — 61% confidence · +19.7 pp edge · odds 2.42. Based on statistical patterns from the BilSports prediction engine.
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Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.
Match predictions
Head to Head record shows that in the previous 10 meetings, Penarol has won 9 times, Defensor Sporting has won 0 times, and 1 ended in a draw. Penarol scored 19 goals and Defensor Sporting scored 5 goals in these matches.
Primera División - Apertura
Recent performance analysis
Penarol +35% better in terms of Goals Scored
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Penarol | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 10% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% |
Defensor Sporting +15% better in terms of Goals Conceded
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Penarol | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheet | 10% | 20% |
| Match Goals | Penarol | Defensor Sporting | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 30% | 35% |
| BTTS & Loss | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Penarol | Defensor Sporting | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shots / Match | 2.92 | 0.00 | 2.92 |
| Shots On Target / Match | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| Shots Off Target / Match | 2.38 | 0.00 | 2.38 |
| Inside Box / Match | 1.15 | 0.00 | 1.15 |
| Outside Box / Match | 1.77 | 0.00 | 1.77 |
| GK Saves / Match | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| Conversion Rate % | 18.5% | 0.0% | 9.2% |
| Stat | Penarol | Defensor Sporting | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Total Shots | 1.20 | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| 2H Total Shots | 2.60 | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| 1H Shots On Target | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| 2H Shots On Target | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Penarol | Defensor Sporting | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 200 Passes | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 250 Passes | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 300 Passes | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 350 Passes | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 400 Passes | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 450 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 500 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 550 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 600 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 650 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 8 corners means 8 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Penarol | Defensor Sporting | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 7 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 8 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stat | Penarol | Defensor Sporting | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Average | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2H Average | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cards Average | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| 1st Half Cards % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2nd Half Cards % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Primera División - Apertura Table| # | Team | MP | W% | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 19 | 63% | 35 | 20 | +15 | 39 | 2.05 |
| 2 |  Racing Montevideo | 19 | 53% | 25 | 15 | +10 | 37 | 1.95 |
| 3 |  Penarol | 19 | 58% | 28 | 18 | +10 | 36 | 1.89 |
| 4 |  Albion FC | 19 | 47% | 29 | 20 | +9 | 32 | 1.68 |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 19 | 53% | 31 | 26 | +5 | 31 | 1.63 |
| 6 |  Central Espanol | 19 | 47% | 27 | 25 | +2 | 31 | 1.63 |
| 7 |  Atletico Torque | 19 | 42% | 29 | 24 | +5 | 29 | 1.53 |
| 8 |  Wanderers | 19 | 37% | 22 | 24 | -2 | 26 | 1.37 |
| 9 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 18 | 33% | 22 | 20 | +2 | 24 | 1.33 |
| 10 |  Cerro Largo | 18 | 39% | 21 | 20 | +1 | 23 | 1.28 |
| 11 |  Defensor Sporting | 19 | 26% | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 | 1.21 |
| 12 |  Boston River | 19 | 32% | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 | 1.11 |
| 13 |  Danubio | 18 | 22% | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 | 1.06 |
| 14 |  Juventud | 18 | 28% | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 | 1.00 |
| 15 |  Progreso | 19 | 16% | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 | 0.68 |
| 16 |  Cerro | 19 | 16% | 10 | 31 | -21 | 13 | 0.68 |
