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BilSports AI Prediction — Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza FC
Top signal: Goals — Over 1.5 — 68% confidence · +22.8 pp edge · odds 2.21. Based on statistical patterns from the BilSports prediction engine.
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Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.
Match predictions
Head to Head record shows that in the previous 8 meetings, Independiente Medellin has won 3 times, Fortaleza FC has won 1 time, and 4 ended in a draw. Independiente Medellin scored 13 goals and Fortaleza FC scored 8 goals in these matches.
Recent performance analysis
Independiente Medellin +28% better in terms of Goals Scored
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Independiente Medellin | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% |
Independiente Medellin +5% better in terms of Goals Conceded
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Independiente Medellin | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheet | 40% | 20% |
| Match Goals | Independiente Medellin | Fortaleza FC | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Loss | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Independiente Medellin | Fortaleza FC | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shots / Match | 14.39 | 11.89 | 26.28 |
| Shots On Target / Match | 4.87 | 3.67 | 8.54 |
| Shots Off Target / Match | 9.52 | 8.22 | 17.74 |
| Inside Box / Match | 7.93 | 6.57 | 14.50 |
| Outside Box / Match | 6.07 | 5.36 | 11.43 |
| GK Saves / Match | 2.93 | 2.00 | 4.93 |
| Conversion Rate % | 33.8% | 30.9% | 32.4% |
| Stat | Independiente Medellin | Fortaleza FC | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Total Shots | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| 2H Total Shots | 1.20 | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| 1H Shots On Target | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| 2H Shots On Target | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Independiente Medellin | Fortaleza FC | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 200 Passes | 70% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 250 Passes | 70% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 300 Passes | 60% | 90% | 75% |
| Over 350 Passes | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 400 Passes | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 450 Passes | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 500 Passes | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Over 550 Passes | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 600 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 650 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 8 corners means 8 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Independiente Medellin | Fortaleza FC | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Over 7 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 8 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 9 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stat | Independiente Medellin | Fortaleza FC | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Average | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| 2H Average | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Cards Average | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.45 |
| 1st Half Cards % | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| 2nd Half Cards % | 10% | 0% | 5% |
