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BilSports AI Prediction — Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
Top signal: Goals — Over 1.5 — 69% confidence · +19.2 pp edge · odds 2.01. Based on statistical patterns from the BilSports prediction engine.
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Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.
Match predictions
Head to Head record shows that in the previous 10 meetings, Erzgebirge Aue has won 1 time, MSV Duisburg has won 4 times, and 5 ended in a draw. Erzgebirge Aue scored 6 goals and MSV Duisburg scored 15 goals in these matches.
Recent performance analysis
Erzgebirge Aue +15% better in terms of Goals Scored
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Erzgebirge Aue | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% |
MSV Duisburg +24% better in terms of Goals Conceded
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Erzgebirge Aue | MSV Duisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheet | 20% | 20% |
| Match Goals | Erzgebirge Aue | MSV Duisburg | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS & Loss | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Erzgebirge Aue | MSV Duisburg | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shots / Match | 10.17 | 9.50 | 19.67 |
| Shots On Target / Match | 3.17 | 3.17 | 6.34 |
| Shots Off Target / Match | 7.00 | 6.33 | 13.33 |
| Inside Box / Match | 5.08 | 3.92 | 9.00 |
| Outside Box / Match | 3.23 | 1.38 | 4.61 |
| GK Saves / Match | 2.31 | 2.85 | 5.16 |
| Conversion Rate % | 31.2% | 33.4% | 32.3% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Erzgebirge Aue | MSV Duisburg | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 200 Passes | 80% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 250 Passes | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 300 Passes | 30% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 350 Passes | 30% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 400 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 450 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 500 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 550 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 600 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 650 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 8 corners means 8 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Erzgebirge Aue | MSV Duisburg | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stat | Erzgebirge Aue | MSV Duisburg | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Average | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2H Average | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Cards Average | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Cards % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2nd Half Cards % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
