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BilSports AI Prediction — Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio
Top signal: Goals — Over 1.5 — 61% confidence · +14.3 pp edge · odds 2.14. Based on statistical patterns from the BilSports prediction engine.
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Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.
Match predictions
Head to Head record shows that in the previous 10 meetings, Atletico Paranaense has won 5 times, Gremio has won 5 times, and 0 ended in a draw. Atletico Paranaense scored 13 goals and Gremio scored 12 goals in these matches.
Goal-based H2H trends are complete, but some detailed event stats are unavailable for these historical meetings, so advanced rows stay unfilled.
Recent performance analysis
Gremio +3% better in terms of Goals Scored
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Atletico Paranaense | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 40% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 10% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 30% |
Atletico Paranaense +9% better in terms of Goals Conceded
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Atletico Paranaense | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 | 0% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheet | 40% | 50% |
| Match Goals | Atletico Paranaense | Gremio | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 60% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Loss | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 10% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Atletico Paranaense | Gremio | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shots / Match | 10.00 | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| Shots On Target / Match | 3.83 | 3.83 | 7.66 |
| Shots Off Target / Match | 6.17 | 7.17 | 13.34 |
| Inside Box / Match | 6.17 | 5.83 | 12.00 |
| Outside Box / Match | 3.83 | 5.00 | 8.83 |
| GK Saves / Match | 2.17 | 2.45 | 4.62 |
| Conversion Rate % | 38.3% | 34.8% | 36.6% |
| Stat | Atletico Paranaense | Gremio | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Total Shots | 2.30 | 1.80 | 4.10 |
| 2H Total Shots | 4.00 | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| 1H Shots On Target | 0.50 | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| 2H Shots On Target | 1.60 | 0.70 | 2.30 |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Atletico Paranaense | Gremio | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 200 Passes | 90% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 250 Passes | 90% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 300 Passes | 80% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 350 Passes | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 400 Passes | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 450 Passes | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Over 500 Passes | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Over 550 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 600 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 650 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 8 corners means 8 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Atletico Paranaense | Gremio | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 7 | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Over 8 | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 9 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stat | Atletico Paranaense | Gremio | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Average | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| 2H Average | 0.50 | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| Cards Average | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.55 |
| 1st Half Cards % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2nd Half Cards % | 10% | 30% | 20% |
