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BilSports AI Prediction — Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid
Top signal: Goals — Over 1.5 — 68% confidence · +19.7 pp edge · odds 2.07. Based on statistical patterns from the BilSports prediction engine.
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Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.
Match predictions
Head to Head record shows that in the previous 5 meetings, Arsenal has won 1 time, Atletico Madrid has won 1 time, and 3 ended in a draw. Arsenal scored 7 goals and Atletico Madrid scored 4 goals in these matches.
Goal-based H2H trends are complete, but some detailed event stats are unavailable for these historical meetings, so advanced rows stay unfilled.
Recent performance analysis
Atletico Madrid +2% better in terms of Goals Scored
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% |
Arsenal +83% better in terms of Goals Conceded
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
| Stat | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 40% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 10% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheet | 60% | 20% |
| Match Goals | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 30% | 15% |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Loss | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shots / Match | 14.41 | 13.50 | 27.91 |
| Shots On Target / Match | 5.00 | 5.14 | 10.14 |
| Shots Off Target / Match | 9.41 | 8.36 | 17.77 |
| Inside Box / Match | 10.24 | 9.11 | 19.35 |
| Outside Box / Match | 3.92 | 4.28 | 8.20 |
| GK Saves / Match | 1.86 | 3.25 | 5.11 |
| Conversion Rate % | 34.7% | 38.1% | 36.4% |
| Stat | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Total Shots | 2.80 | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| 2H Total Shots | 1.70 | 2.60 | 4.30 |
| 1H Shots On Target | 0.80 | 1.10 | 1.90 |
| 2H Shots On Target | 0.60 | 0.50 | 1.10 |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 200 Passes | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 250 Passes | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 300 Passes | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 350 Passes | 80% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 400 Passes | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 450 Passes | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 500 Passes | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 550 Passes | 0% | 30% | 15% |
| Over 600 Passes | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 650 Passes | 0% | 10% | 5% |
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 8 corners means 8 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Over 7 | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 8 | 0% | 30% | 15% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stat | Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Average | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| 2H Average | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| Cards Average | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Cards % | 0% | 30% | 15% |
| 2nd Half Cards % | 10% | 20% | 15% |
