Alfreton Town vs Derby — Friendlies Clubs (July 17, 2026)
BilSports AI Prediction — Alfreton Town vs Derby
Top signal: Goals — Over 1.5 — 74% confidence · +7.8 pp edge · odds 1.51. Based on statistical patterns from the BilSports prediction engine.
Football statistics & match prediction
Form-based stats — win rate, BTTS, clean sheets, cards and corners — reflect up to each team's last 20 matches.
Full Time
Full TimeHT: 0 - 2
Goals
J. Ward14'
B. Clark33'
Match Overview
Match predictions
Alfreton Town
3%
Home Win
🤝
8%
Draw
Derby
89%
Away Win
60%
BTTS Yes
40%
BTTS No
95%
Over 0.5
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
Head to Head Statistics
1
Matches
100%
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Head to Head record shows that in the previous 1 meetings, Alfreton Town has won 1 time, Derby has won 0 times, and 0 ended in a draw. Alfreton Town scored 2 goals and Derby scored 1 goals in these matches.
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
0%
Clean Sheets
Alfreton Town
0%
Clean Sheets
Derby
Average Performance in H2H Matches
2.00
Goals / per game
1.00
-
Shots / per game
-
-
Shots on Target
-
-
Passes / per game
-
-
Corners / per game
-
-
Fouls / per game
-
-
Yellow Cards
-
-
Red Cards
-
Partial Historical Coverage
Goal-based H2H trends are complete, but some detailed event stats are unavailable for these historical meetings, so advanced rows stay unfilled.
Combined Match Averages
3.0
Goals / per match
-
Shots / per match
-
Corners / per match
-
Yellow Cards
Alfreton Town v Derby Past H2H Results & Fixtures
Recent Form
Recent performance analysis
Recent performance analysis
1.83
Form - Home
Derby +24% better
PPG
3.00
Form - Away
Home
Alfreton Town
20%
Wins
50%
Draws
30%
Losses
1.2
Goals/G
1.8
Conc/G
D
W
D
D
W
D
L
D
L
L
✗Lost last 2 matches
✓Over 1.5 goals in last 2 matches
✓Over 2.5 goals in 60% of matches
✓Over 1.5 goals in 90% of matches
✓BTTS in 70% of matches
✗Conceded in 90% of matches
0-2
1-2
0-0
0-5
3-3
Away
Derby
60%
Wins
0%
Draws
40%
Losses
1.6
Goals/G
1.4
Conc/G
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
✓Scored in last 10 matches
✓Over 1.5 goals in last 4 matches
✓Over 2.5 goals in 50% of matches
✓Over 1.5 goals in 70% of matches
✓BTTS in 50% of matches
✓Clean sheet in 50% of matches
CREATE FREE ACCOUNT — Match Statistics
Goals Scored
Derby +37% better in terms of Goals Scored
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
1.16 Goals / per match
1.59 Goals / per match
Scored Per Game
| Stat | Alfreton Town | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% |
CREATE FREE ACCOUNT — Match Statistics
Goals Conceded
Derby +21% better in terms of Goals Conceded
Averages and percentages calculated from each team's most recent available matches (up to 20, within the last 12 months).
1.76 Conceded Per Game
1.45 Conceded Per Game
Defensive Record
| Stat | Alfreton Town | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheet | 10% | 50% |
UPGRADE TO MEDIUM — Advanced Statistics
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
Alfreton Town and Derby's Over 0.5 ~ 4.5 and BTTS data.
| Match Goals | Alfreton Town | Derby | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Loss | 10% | 40% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
PREMIUM DATA — Advanced Statistics
Shots, Fouls & Offsides
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 12 shots means 12 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
Total
| Stat | Alfreton Town | Derby | Combined |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Shots / Match | 0.00 | 12.14 | 12.14 |
| Shots On Target / Match | 0.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Shots Off Target / Match | 0.00 | 8.14 | 8.14 |
| Inside Box / Match | 0.00 | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| Outside Box / Match | 0.00 | 4.11 | 4.11 |
| GK Saves / Match | 0.00 | 3.89 | 3.89 |
| Conversion Rate % | 0.0% | 32.9% | 16.5% |
PREMIUM DATA — Advanced Statistics
Passes Statistics
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 450 passes means 450 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Alfreton Town | Derby | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 200 Passes | 0% | 90% | 45% |
| Over 250 Passes | 0% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 300 Passes | 0% | 60% | 30% |
| Over 350 Passes | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 400 Passes | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 450 Passes | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 500 Passes | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 550 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 600 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 650 Passes | 0% | 0% | 0% |
UPGRADE TO MEDIUM — Corner Stats
Number of Corners
These numbers are per team. Example: an average of 8 corners means 8 for that team alone, not the combined total of both teams.
| Stat | Alfreton Town | Derby | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| Over 7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
UPGRADE TO MEDIUM — Card Analysis
Cards
Stat
| Stat | Alfreton Town | Derby | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards Average | 0.00 | 2.70 | 1.35 |
Match Events
Alfreton TownDerby
75'S. LigendzaTrialist G
63'D. OdunaiyaTrialist F
63'J. KruszynskiTrialist E
63'TrialistJ. Wright
46'Trialist AB. Gough
46'TrialistTrialist D
INT 0 – 2
43'D. BensonC. Finney
R. HedgesR. Harvey40'
B. Clark0 – 233'
J. Ward0 – 114'
Odds Market
MarketOddsStats
Alfreton Town Win30.7020%
Derby Win1.0560%
Draw11.0925%
Over 0.5—95%
Over 1.5—80%
Over 2.52.1955%
Over 3.5—30%
BTTS5.0060%